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Chapter 7 The Mathematics of Maybe: Introduction to Probability (Class 9 - Latest Maths NCERT (Ganita Manjari I) Solutions)

Seeking expert-verified NCERT Solutions for Chapter 7: The Mathematics of Maybe? You’ve come to the right place! This page provides clear, step-by-step guidance for the latest Class 9 Maths curriculum, helping you master the art of measuring uncertainty. We move beyond simple guesswork to provide structured solutions for predicting the likelihood of events, ensuring you understand how "randomness" follows a precise mathematical framework in everything from weather forecasts to fair coin tosses.

Our solutions offer detailed walkthroughs for both Experimental Probability, based on trial data and relative frequency, and Theoretical Probability, based on logical reasoning. We help you navigate the Probability Scale from 0 to 1 and provide clear explanations for exercises involving the ancient game of Jñān-Chaupad̤. A key feature of our resources is helping you debunk logical traps like the Gambler’s Fallacy, providing the deductive clarity needed to understand that random events are independent of past outcomes.

To help you excel in your assessments, this page provides visualizations of the probability scale, step-by-step tree diagram constructions for multi-step experiments, and detailed breakdowns of sample spaces. These comprehensive resources, curated by learningspot.co based on the Ganita Manjari I textbook, are designed to turn the "Mathematics of Maybe" into a powerful tool for forecasting and decision-making. Master your Class 9 probability exercises with our expert-prepared materials today!

Content On This Page
Exercise Set 7.1 Exercise Set 7.2 Exercise Set 7.3
Exercise Set 7.4 End-Of-Chapter Exercises


Exercise Set 7.1

Question 1. Rank the following events on a scale from $0$ (Impossible) to $1$ (Certain). Label each event: Impossible, less likely, equally likely (even chance), more likely, certain. Give reasons why you gave each event its ranking.

(i) The next Monday will come after Sunday.

(ii) It will snow in Mumbai in July.

(iii) An elephant will walk through your classroom today.

(iv) You will greet at least one friend at school tomorrow.

Answer:

(i) Event: The next Monday will come after Sunday.

Rank: $1$

Label: Certain

Reason: The sequence of the days of the week is a fixed cycle. According to the standard calendar used in India, Monday always follows Sunday. There is no possibility of any other day occurring between them.


(ii) Event: It will snow in Mumbai in July.

Rank: $0$

Label: Impossible

Reason: Mumbai is a coastal city in India with a tropical climate. During the month of July, the city experiences the peak of the southwest monsoon with high temperatures and heavy rainfall. The atmospheric conditions are never cold enough for snowfall to occur.


(iii) Event: An elephant will walk through your classroom today.

Rank: $0$

Label: Impossible

Reason: Classrooms are strictly controlled indoor environments located within school buildings, typically in urban or residential areas. It is physically and logically impossible for a large wild animal like an elephant to enter a modern school infrastructure and walk through a specific classroom during a normal school day.


(iv) Event: You will greet at least one friend at school tomorrow.

Rank: $0.9$

Label: More likely

Reason: Since you are a student and have a regular social circle at school, it is highly probable that you will meet and greet your friends. While it is not "Certain" (as you or your friends could be absent), the frequency of this occurrence makes it very more likely.



Exercise Set 7.2

Question 1. A teacher mixes a large bag of sweets of different colours and randomly selects a sample of $30$ sweets. She counts the number of sweets of each colour:

$10$ red sweets | $8$ green sweets | $7$ yellow sweets | $5$ blue sweets

(i) Calculate the probability that a randomly picked sweet from the sample is green.

(ii) If there are $600$ sweets in total in the large bag, estimate how many are likely to be yellow, based on the sample results.

Answer:

Given:

Total number of sweets in the sample ($n$) $= 30$

Number of red sweets $= 10$

Number of green sweets $= 8$

Number of yellow sweets $= 7$

Number of blue sweets $= 5$


To Find:

(i) Probability of picking a green sweet.

(ii) Estimated number of yellow sweets in a bag of $600$.


Solution:

(i) Probability of green sweet:

$P(\text{Green}) = \frac{\text{Number of green sweets}}{\text{Total number of sweets in sample}}$

$P(\text{Green}) = \frac{8}{30}$

Simplifying the fraction:

$P(\text{Green}) = \frac{\cancel{8}^4}{\cancel{30}_{15}} = \frac{4}{15}$


(ii) Estimation of yellow sweets:

First, find the probability of a yellow sweet from the sample:

$P(\text{Yellow}) = \frac{7}{30}$

To estimate the number of yellow sweets in the whole bag of $600$:

$\text{Estimated Number} = P(\text{Yellow}) \times \text{Total sweets in bag}$

$\text{Estimated Number} = \frac{7}{30} \times 600$

$\text{Estimated Number} = 7 \times \frac{\cancel{600}^{20}}{\cancel{30}_1}$

$\text{Estimated Number} = 7 \times 20 = 140$

Therefore, there are likely to be $140$ yellow sweets in the large bag.

Question 2. A survey is conducted at a school where a random sample of $40$ students is asked about their favourite club. The responses are:

$14$ students: Science Club | $11$ students: Arts Club | $9$ students: Sports Club | $6$ students: Debate Club

Assume there are $800$ students in the whole school.

(i) What is the probability that a randomly chosen student from the sample prefers the Arts Club?

(ii) Using the sample results, estimate how many students in the whole school are likely to prefer the Sports Club.

Answer:

Given:

Sample size ($n$) $= 40$

Students preferring Arts Club $= 11$

Students preferring Sports Club $= 9$

Total students in school $= 800$


Solution:

(i) Probability for Arts Club:

$P(\text{Arts}) = \frac{\text{Number of students preferring Arts}}{\text{Total students in sample}}$

$P(\text{Arts}) = \frac{11}{40}$

As a decimal, $P(\text{Arts}) = 0.275$.


(ii) Estimation for Sports Club:

Probability of choosing a student who prefers Sports from the sample:

$P(\text{Sports}) = \frac{9}{40}$

Estimated number of students in the whole school ($800$):

$\text{Estimated Number} = \frac{9}{40} \times 800$

$\text{Estimated Number} = 9 \times \frac{\cancel{800}^{20}}{\cancel{40}_1}$

$\text{Estimated Number} = 9 \times 20 = 180$

Therefore, approximately $180$ students in the school are likely to prefer the Sports Club.

Question 3. Toss a coin $20$ times and record the result each time (heads or tails).

(i) How many times did you get heads?

(ii) How many times did you get tails?

(iii) Calculate the experimental probability of getting heads.

(iv) If you toss the coin once more, what is the probability of getting tails?

Answer:

Note: Since this is an activity-based question, we will assume a sample set of results for the purpose of the calculation.

Assumed Results: Let's say out of $20$ tosses, we obtained Heads $12$ times and Tails $8$ times.


Solution:

(i) Number of Heads:

Based on our assumed data, the number of heads obtained is $12$.


(ii) Number of Tails:

Based on our assumed data, the number of tails obtained is $8$.


(iii) Experimental Probability of Heads:

$P(\text{Heads}) = \frac{\text{Number of Heads obtained}}{\text{Total number of tosses}}$

$P(\text{Heads}) = \frac{12}{20} = \frac{3}{5} = 0.6$


(iv) Probability of getting tails on the next toss:

In Experimental Probability, we use the results of past trials to predict the next one.

$P(\text{Tails}) = \frac{\text{Number of Tails obtained}}{\text{Total number of tosses}}$

$P(\text{Tails}) = \frac{8}{20} = \frac{2}{5} = 0.4$

Note: Theoretically, for a fair coin, the probability of getting tails on any single toss is always $0.5$, but based on this experiment, the probability is $0.4$.

Question 4. Toss a paper cup into the air $100$ times. After each toss record whether the cup lands on its bottom, upside down on its top or on its side (See Fig. 7.5). Assign probabilities to the outcomes by using experimental probability.

Fig. 7.5: Paper cup landing positions

Answer:

Note: Since this is an activity-based experiment, the results will vary for everyone. For this solution, we will assume a sample set of observations from $100$ tosses.

Assumed Observations:

Total number of trials (tosses) $= 100$

1. Number of times cup landed on its Bottom $= 8$

2. Number of times cup landed on its Top (Upside down) $= 12$

3. Number of times cup landed on its Side $= 80$


Solution:

The experimental probability of an event is given by:

$P(E) = \frac{\text{Number of trials in which the event occurred}}{\text{Total number of trials}}$

1. Probability of landing on the Bottom:

$P(\text{Bottom}) = \frac{8}{100}$

$P(\text{Bottom}) = \frac{\cancel{8}^2}{\cancel{100}_{25}} = 0.08$

2. Probability of landing on the Top:

$P(\text{Top}) = \frac{12}{100}$

$P(\text{Top}) = \frac{\cancel{12}^3}{\cancel{100}_{25}} = 0.12$

3. Probability of landing on the Side:

$P(\text{Side}) = \frac{80}{100}$

$P(\text{Side}) = \frac{\cancel{80}^4}{\cancel{100}_{5}} = 0.8$

Question 5. What is the probability of getting an even number when rolling a fair $6$-sided die?

Answer:

To Find:

The theoretical probability of getting an even number on a fair $6$-sided die.


Solution:

When a fair $6$-sided die is rolled, the sample space (total possible outcomes) is:

$S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$

Total number of outcomes $n(S) = 6$

Let $E$ be the event of getting an even number. The favorable outcomes are:

$E = \{2, 4, 6\}$

Number of favorable outcomes $n(E) = 3$

The probability $P(E)$ is given by:

$P(E) = \frac{n(E)}{n(S)}$

$P(E) = \frac{\cancel{3}^1}{\cancel{6}_2}$

$P(E) = \frac{1}{2} = 0.5$

Therefore, the probability of getting an even number is $\frac{1}{2}$.

Question 6. Suppose you roll a $6$-sided die $12$ times and get a ‘$3$’ three times.

(i) What is the experimental probability of rolling a ‘$3$’?

(ii) What is the theoretical probability of rolling a ‘$3$’?

(iii) Why might these probabilities be different? What would you expect to happen if you roll the die $60, 600,$ or $6000$ times?

Answer:

Given:

Total number of rolls $= 12$

Number of times '$3$' occurred $= 3$


Solution:

(i) Experimental Probability:

$P_{\text{exp}}(3) = \frac{\text{Number of times 3 appeared}}{\text{Total number of rolls}}$

$P_{\text{exp}}(3) = \frac{\cancel{3}^1}{\cancel{12}_4} = 0.25$


(ii) Theoretical Probability:

For a fair $6$-sided die, there is only one '$3$' out of $6$ total faces.

$P_{\text{theo}}(3) = \frac{1}{6} \approx 0.167$


(iii) Reasoning and Expectation:

Reason for difference: Experimental probability is based on a limited number of trials and is subject to random chance and fluctuations. In a small sample size like $12$ rolls, the outcomes may not reflect the mathematical ideal (theoretical probability).

Expectation for larger trials: According to the Law of Large Numbers, as the number of trials increases ($60, 600,$ or $6000$), the experimental probability tends to get closer and closer to the theoretical probability.

For example, if we roll the die $6000$ times, we would expect the outcome '$3$' to occur approximately $\frac{1}{6}$ of the time, which is about $1000$ times, making the experimental probability very close to $0.167$.



Exercise Set 7.3

Question 1. When a single $6$-sided die is rolled, what is the total number of possible outcomes in the sample space?

Answer:

Solution:

When a single 6-sided die is rolled, the numbers that can appear on the top face are $1, 2, 3, 4, 5$ or $6$.

The sample space ($S$) is the set of all possible outcomes.

$S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$

The total number of elements in the sample space is denoted by $n(S)$.

$n(S) = 6$

Therefore, the total number of possible outcomes in the sample space is 6.

Question 2. For the following experiments write down the sample space $S$.

(i) Rolling a die and tossing a coin together.

(ii) Choosing a random integer between $-5$ and $+5$.

(iii) A box containing $5$ green and $7$ red balls. One ball is drawn at random.

Answer:

Definition:

A sample space (denoted by $S$) is the set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment. Each element in the set is called a sample point.


(i) Rolling a die and tossing a coin together:

When a $6$-sided die is rolled, the possible outcomes are $\{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$. When a coin is tossed, the possible outcomes are $\{H, T\}$, where $H$ stands for Heads and $T$ for Tails.

The sample space $S$ consists of all possible ordered pairs $(\text{die outcome, coin outcome})$ as shown in the table below:

Die Outcome Coin Outcome Sample Point (Die, Coin)
1H, T(1, H), (1, T)
2H, T(2, H), (2, T)
3H, T(3, H), (3, T)
4H, T(4, H), (4, T)
5H, T(5, H), (5, T)
6H, T(6, H), (6, T)

Thus, the sample space is:

$S = \{(1, H), (1, T), (2, H), (2, T), (3, H), (3, T), (4, H), (4, T), (5, H), $$ (5, T), (6, H), (6, T)\}$

Total number of outcomes $n(S) = 6 \times 2 = 12$.


(ii) Choosing a random integer between $-5$ and $+5$:

In mathematics, the term between typically refers to the set of integers strictly greater than $-5$ and strictly less than $5$ (excluding the endpoints).

The integers lying in this range are:

$S = \{-4, -3, -2, -1, 0, 1, 2, 3, 4\}$

Total number of outcomes $n(S) = 9$.


(iii) A box containing $5$ green and $7$ red balls. One ball is drawn at random:

To ensure that each outcome is equally likely, we treat each ball as a distinct object. Let the $5$ green balls be $G_1, G_2, G_3, G_4, G_5$ and the $7$ red balls be $R_1, R_2, R_3, R_4, R_5, R_6, R_7$.

The sample space $S$ consists of all individual balls that can be drawn:

$S = \{G_1, G_2, G_3, G_4, G_5, R_1, R_2, R_3, R_4, R_5, R_6, R_7\}$

Total number of outcomes $n(S) = 5 + 7 = 12$.

Note: If the sample space is required only in terms of the observed color of the ball, it would be $S = \{\text{Green, Red}\}$. However, for probability calculations, listing all $12$ distinct outcomes is the standard mathematical approach.

Question 3. In a village fair, there are $3$ popular snacks available: Samosa, Pakora, and Bhaji. For drinks, villagers can choose either Chai or Lassi.

(i) List the sample space of all possible snack and drink combinations a person could choose at the fair.

(ii) List the event ‘Selecting Samosa as a snack.’

Answer:

Solution:

(i) Sample space $S$:

The sample space contains all possible combinations of one snack and one drink.

$S = \{(\text{Samosa, Chai}), (\text{Samosa, Lassi}), (\text{Pakora, Chai}), $$ (\text{Pakora, Lassi}), (\text{Bhaji, Chai}), (\text{Bhaji, Lassi})\}$

The total number of possible combinations is 6.


(ii) Event ‘Selecting Samosa as a snack’:

Let $E$ be the event of selecting a Samosa. This event consists of all outcomes where the snack is Samosa regardless of the drink chosen.

$E = \{(\text{Samosa, Chai}), (\text{Samosa, Lassi})\}$



Exercise Set 7.4

Question 1. There are two fruit baskets $A$ and $B$. Basket $A$ has one apple and two oranges. Basket $B$ has one banana and one mango. You randomly pick one fruit from each basket.

(i) Draw a tree diagram showing all possible pairs of fruits.

(ii) List the sample space.

(iii) What is the probability of picking one apple and one banana?

Answer:

Given:

Basket $A$ contains: $1$ Apple ($A$), $2$ Oranges ($O_1$ and $O_2$). Total fruits in $A = 3$.

Basket $B$ contains: $1$ Banana ($Ba$), $1$ Mango ($M$). Total fruits in $B = 2$.


(i) Tree Diagram:

The tree diagram starts with three branches for the first pick (Basket $A$) and each of those branches splits into two for the second pick (Basket $B$).

Tree diagram for picking fruits from Baskets A and B

(ii) Sample Space:

The sample space $S$ is the set of all possible ordered pairs $(\text{Fruit from } A, \text{Fruit from } B)$.

$S = \{(A, Ba), (A, M), (O_1, Ba), (O_1, M), (O_2, Ba), (O_2, M)\}$

Total number of outcomes in the sample space is $n(S)$:

$n(S) = 3 \times 2 = 6$


(iii) Probability of picking one apple and one banana:

Let $E$ be the event of picking one apple and one banana.

Looking at the sample space, the only favourable outcome is $(A, Ba)$.

$n(E) = 1$

The probability $P(E)$ is calculated as:

$P(E) = \frac{n(E)}{n(S)}$

$P(E) = \frac{1}{6}$

Therefore, the probability of picking one apple and one banana is $\frac{1}{6}$.

Question 2. Let us say that you have a box containing $3$ red pens, $4$ black pens and $2$ green pens. You pick a pen (without looking) from the box and put it back. Then your friend does the same.

(i) What are the possible outcomes of the pen colours? Can you draw a tree diagram representing the possible outcomes?

(ii) Can you use the tree diagram to guess the probability that both you and your friend pick pens of the same colour?

Answer:

Given:

Number of Red pens ($R$) $= 3$

Number of Black pens ($Bl$) $= 4$

Number of Green pens ($G$) $= 2$

Total number of pens $= 3 + 4 + 2 = 9$

The experiment is "with replacement," meaning the total count remains $9$ for both picks.


(i) Possible outcomes and Tree Diagram:

The possible outcomes for the colours are Red ($R$), Black ($Bl$), and Green ($G$). Since two people pick, the possible outcomes for the pair of colours are: $(R, R), (R, Bl), (R, G), (Bl, R), (Bl, Bl), (Bl, G), (G, R), (G, Bl),$ and $(G, G)$.

Tree diagram for picking pens of different colours with replacement

(ii) Probability that both pick pens of the same colour:

Let the event of both picking the same colour be $E$. The favourable outcomes are $(R, R), (Bl, Bl),$ and $(G, G)$.

Total number of outcomes in the sample space $n(S) = 9 \times 9 = 81$.

1. Probability of picking Red twice:

$P(R, R) = \frac{3}{9} \times \frac{3}{9} = \frac{9}{81}$

2. Probability of picking Black twice:

$P(Bl, Bl) = \frac{4}{9} \times \frac{4}{9} = \frac{16}{81}$

3. Probability of picking Green twice:

$P(G, G) = \frac{2}{9} \times \frac{2}{9} = \frac{4}{81}$

The total probability of picking the same colour is the sum of these probabilities:

$P(E) = \frac{9}{81} + \frac{16}{81} + \frac{4}{81}$

$P(E) = \frac{29}{81}$

Therefore, the probability that both pick pens of the same colour is $\frac{29}{81}$.



End-Of-Chapter Exercises

Question 1. Fill in the blanks.

(i) The probability of an impossible event is _______.

(ii) The set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment is called the __________.

(iii) The probability of an event that is certain to happen is _______.

(iv) Tossing a fair coin has a probability of ______ for getting heads.

Answer:

(i) The probability of an impossible event is $0$.

(ii) The set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment is called the sample space.

(iii) The probability of an event that is certain to happen is $1$.

(iv) Tossing a fair coin has a probability of $\frac{1}{2}$ (or $0.5$) for getting heads.

Question 2. In a survey of $50$ students, $15$ students said they liked football. The number of students who like football is $15$, and the ________ (frequency/relative frequency) is __________ (fill in the fraction or decimal).

Answer:

Solution:

In this survey, the number of students who like football represents the actual count of occurrences.

$\text{Frequency} = 15$

The relative frequency is the ratio of the frequency to the total number of students in the survey.

$\text{Relative Frequency} = \frac{15}{50}$

$\text{Relative Frequency} = \frac{\cancel{15}^3}{\cancel{50}_{10}} = 0.3$

Therefore, the relative frequency is $0.3$ (or $\frac{3}{10}$).

Question 3. Which of the following experiments have equally likely outcomes? Explain.

(i) A driver attempts to start a car. The car starts or does not start.

(ii) Tossing a fair coin once.

(iii) Rolling a fair $6$-sided die.

(iv) Choosing a marble randomly from a bag that contains $3$ red marbles and $7$ blue marbles.

(v) A baby is born. It is a boy or a girl.

Answer:

Explanation:

Outcomes are said to be equally likely if each has the same chance of occurring.

(i) A driver attempts to start a car: Not equally likely. The probability depends on several factors like the fuel level, battery health, and mechanical condition. It is much more likely to start if the car is in good condition.

(ii) Tossing a fair coin once: Equally likely. A fair coin has a $50\%$ chance of landing on Heads and a $50\%$ chance of landing on Tails.

(iii) Rolling a fair 6-sided die: Equally likely. Each of the six faces $\{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$ has an equal probability of $\frac{1}{6}$ of appearing.

(iv) Choosing a marble randomly: Not equally likely. Since the number of blue marbles ($7$) is greater than the red marbles ($3$), picking a blue marble is more likely than picking a red one.

(v) A baby is born: Equally likely. Biologically, under normal circumstances, the probability of a newborn being a boy or a girl is approximately equal (roughly $1/2$ each).

Question 4. Write the sample space and calculate the probability based on the given information.

(i) Two coins are tossed at the same time. What is the probability of getting at least one head?

(ii) Ten identical cards numbered $1$ to $10$ are placed in a box. One card is drawn at random. What is the probability of drawing a card with an even number?

(iii) A die is rolled once. What is the probability of getting a number greater than $4$?

(iv) A bag contains $3$ red balls, $2$ blue balls, and $1$ green ball. One ball is picked at random. What is the probability that it is not red?

(v) Three coins are tossed simultaneously. What is the probability of getting exactly two heads?

Answer:

(i) Two coins tossed:

Sample Space $S = \{HH, HT, TH, TT\}$. So, $n(S) = 4$.

Event of "at least one head" $E = \{HH, HT, TH\}$. So, $n(E) = 3$.

$P(E) = \frac{n(E)}{n(S)} = \frac{3}{4}$


(ii) Card numbered 1 to 10:

Sample Space $S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10\}$. So, $n(S) = 10$.

Event of "even number" $E = \{2, 4, 6, 8, 10\}$. So, $n(E) = 5$.

$P(E) = \frac{5}{10} = \frac{1}{2}$


(iii) Die rolled once:

Sample Space $S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$. So, $n(S) = 6$.

Event of "number greater than 4" $E = \{5, 6\}$. So, $n(E) = 2$.

$P(E) = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}$


(iv) Bag of balls:

Total balls $n(S) = 3 \text{ Red} + 2 \text{ Blue} + 1 \text{ Green} = 6$.

Event "not red" means Blue or Green balls. Favourable outcomes $n(E) = 2 + 1 = 3$.

$P(E) = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}$


(v) Three coins tossed:

Sample Space $S = \{HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT\}$. So, $n(S) = 8$.

Event of "exactly two heads" $E = \{HHT, HTH, THH\}$. So, $n(E) = 3$.

$P(E) = \frac{3}{8}$

Question 5. A bag has $3$ candies: strawberry, lemon, and mint. One is picked at random. What is the probability of picking a strawberry candy?

Answer:

Given:

Total number of candies in the bag $= 3$ (Strawberry, Lemon, Mint).


Solution:

The sample space $S$ is the set of all possible candies that can be picked.

$S = \{\text{Strawberry, Lemon, Mint}\}$

$n(S) = 3$

Let $E$ be the event of picking a strawberry candy.

$E = \{\text{Strawberry}\}$

$n(E) = 1$

The probability $P(E)$ is given by the formula:

$P(E) = \frac{n(E)}{n(S)}$

$P(E) = \frac{1}{3}$

Therefore, the probability of picking a strawberry candy is $\frac{1}{3}$.

Question 6. A child has $2$ shirts (one red and one blue) and $3$ types of pants (jeans, khakis, and shorts). List all the possible combinations of outfits consisting of one shirt and one pair of pants. Display your answer in a table format.

Answer:

Solution:

The child has a choice between $2$ shirts ($S_1, S_2$) and $3$ pants ($P_1, P_2, P_3$). The total number of outfit combinations is $2 \times 3 = 6$.

The following table lists all possible combinations:

Shirt Colour Pants Type Combination (Outfit)
RedJeans(Red Shirt, Jeans)
RedKhakis(Red Shirt, Khakis)
RedShorts(Red Shirt, Shorts)
BlueJeans(Blue Shirt, Jeans)
BlueKhakis(Blue Shirt, Khakis)
BlueShorts(Blue Shirt, Shorts)

The sample space for the outfits is:
$S = \{(\text{Red, Jeans}), (\text{Red, Khakis}), (\text{Red, Shorts}), (\text{Blue, Jeans}), $$ (\text{Blue, Khakis}), (\text{Blue, Shorts})\}$.

Question 7. A tyre company records distances before replacement in $1000$ cases.

Distance (km) Less than $4000$ $4001$ to $9000$ $9001$ to $14000$ More than $14000$
Number of cases $20$ $210$ $325$ $445$

Find the probability that a randomly chosen tyre lasts:

(i) Less than $4000\text{ km}$.

(ii) Between $4000$ and $14000\text{ km}$.

(iii) More than $14000\text{ km}$.

Answer:

Given:

Total number of cases (trials) $n = 1000$.


Solution:

(i) Probability that a tyre lasts less than $4000\text{ km}$:

Number of favourable cases $= 20$.

$P(\text{under } 4000) = \frac{20}{1000} = \frac{\cancel{20}^{1}}{\cancel{1000}_{50}}$

$P = 0.02$


(ii) Probability that a tyre lasts between $4000$ and $14000\text{ km}$:

This includes the categories "$4001$ to $9000$" and "$9001$ to $14000$".

Number of favourable cases $= 210 + 325 = 535$.

$P(\text{between } 4000 \text{ and } 14000) = \frac{535}{1000}$

$P = 0.535$


(iii) Probability that a tyre lasts more than $14000\text{ km}$:

Number of favourable cases $= 445$.

$P(\text{over } 14000) = \frac{445}{1000}$

$P = 0.445$

Question 8. The letters of the word ‘PEACE’ are placed on cards. Leela draws a card without looking.

(i) What is the probability that it is a $P$, $E$ or $C$?

(ii) What is the probability that it is not an $E$?

Answer:

Given:

The word is PEACE. The letters are: P, E, A, C, E.

Total number of letters (cards) $n(S) = 5$.


Solution:

(i) Probability of drawing $P$, $E$, or $C$:

Letters that are $P, E,$ or $C$ are: P (1 card), E (2 cards), and C (1 card).

Number of favourable cards $n(E_1) = 1 + 2 + 1 = 4$.

$P(\text{P, E, or C}) = \frac{4}{5}$

$P = 0.8$


(ii) Probability that it is not an $E$:

Total cards $= 5$. Cards that are '$E$' $= 2$.

Cards that are not '$E$' (P, A, C) $= 5 - 2 = 3$.

$P(\text{not E}) = \frac{3}{5}$

$P = 0.6$

Therefore, the probabilities are $0.8$ and $0.6$ respectively.

Question 9. A game of chance consists of spinning an arrow (see Fig. 7.7.) which comes to rest pointing at one of the numbers $1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8,$ and these are equally likely outcomes. What is the probability that it will point at

(i) $8$?

(ii) An odd number?

(iii) A number greater than $2$?

(iv) A number less than $9$?

(v) A multiple of $3$?

Fig. 7.7: Spinner game

Answer:

Given:

The spinner is divided into $8$ equal parts numbered $1$ to $8$.

Sample Space $S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8\}$

Total number of outcomes $n(S) = 8$


Solution:

(i) Probability that it points at $8$:

Favourable outcome $E = \{8\}$, so $n(E) = 1$.

$P(8) = \frac{1}{8}$


(ii) Probability that it points at an odd number:

Odd numbers in the set are $\{1, 3, 5, 7\}$, so $n(E) = 4$.

$P(\text{odd}) = \frac{4}{8} = \frac{1}{2}$


(iii) Probability that it points at a number greater than $2$:

Numbers greater than $2$ are $\{3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8\}$, so $n(E) = 6$.

$P(> 2) = \frac{6}{8} = \frac{3}{4}$


(iv) Probability that it points at a number less than $9$:

All numbers in the set are less than $9$, so $n(E) = 8$.

$P(< 9) = \frac{8}{8} = 1$


(v) Probability that it points at a multiple of $3$:

Multiples of $3$ in the set are $\{3, 6\}$, so $n(E) = 2$.

$P(\text{multiple of } 3) = \frac{2}{8} = \frac{1}{4}$

Question 10. A basket contains $4$ red balls and $5$ blue balls. One ball is drawn and laid aside, and a second ball is drawn. Draw a tree diagram to represent the possible outcomes and probabilities. Use the tree diagram to answer the following questions.

(i) What is the probability of drawing a red ball and then a blue ball?

(ii) What is the probability of drawing $2$ blue balls?

Answer:

Given:

Red balls ($R$) $= 4$, Blue balls ($B$) $= 5$. Total balls $= 9$.

The experiment is "without replacement" (the first ball is laid aside).


Construction Required:

The tree diagram will have two stages (1st draw and 2nd draw).

Tree diagram for drawing balls without replacement

Solution:

(i) Probability of Red then Blue (RB):

1st draw is Red: $P(R) = \frac{4}{9}$.

Remaining balls: $3$ Red, $5$ Blue (Total $8$).

2nd draw is Blue: $P(B|R) = \frac{5}{8}$.

$P(R \text{ then } B) = \frac{4}{9} \times \frac{5}{8} = \frac{20}{72}$

$P(RB) = \frac{5}{18}$


(ii) Probability of 2 blue balls (BB):

1st draw is Blue: $P(B) = \frac{5}{9}$.

Remaining balls: $4$ Red, $4$ Blue (Total $8$).

2nd draw is Blue: $P(B|B) = \frac{4}{8} = \frac{1}{2}$.

$P(B \text{ then } B) = \frac{5}{9} \times \frac{1}{2} = \frac{5}{18}$

Question 11. I throw a pair of $6$-sided dice. Write down an event that has a probability of $0$ and an outcome that has a probability of $1$.

Answer:

Solution:

When a pair of dice is thrown, the maximum possible sum is $6 + 6 = 12$ and the minimum sum is $1 + 1 = 2$.


Event with Probability $0$ (Impossible Event):

An event that cannot happen has a probability of $0$.

Example: "Getting a sum of $13$."

Since the highest possible sum is $12$, obtaining a sum of $13$ is impossible. Thus, $P(\text{Sum } 13) = 0$.


Event with Probability $1$ (Certain Event):

An event that must happen has a probability of $1$.

Example: "Getting a sum that is less than $15$."

Every possible outcome ($2$ to $12$) is less than $15$. Therefore, this event is certain to happen. Thus, $P(\text{Sum } < 15) = 1$.

Question 12. Write the sample space and calculate the probability based on the given information.

(i) Two dice are rolled. What is the probability that the sum is a prime number greater than $5$?

(ii) A bag contains $4$ red, $3$ green, and $2$ blue balls. Two balls are drawn without replacement. What is the probability that both are of different colours?

(iii) Three coins are tossed. What is the probability that the first coin shows heads and exactly two heads occur in total?

(iv) A four-digit number is formed using the digits $1, 2, 3,$ and $4$ with no repetition. What is the probability that the number is even?

(v) A student takes a multiple-choice test with $3$ questions, each having $4$ options (A, B, C, D), with only one correct answer. What is the probability that the student guesses and gets exactly $2$ answers correct?

Answer:

(i) Two dice are rolled:

Given: Two $6$-sided dice are rolled simultaneously. The desired sum is a prime number greater than $5$ (i.e., $7$ or $11$).


Sample Space ($S$):

When two dice are rolled, the total number of outcomes is $6 \times 6 = 36$.

Die 1 \ Die 2 123456
1(1,1)(1,2)(1,3)(1,4)(1,5)(1,6)
2(2,1)(2,2)(2,3)(2,4)(2,5)(2,6)
3(3,1)(3,2)(3,3)(3,4)(3,5)(3,6)
4(4,1)(4,2)(4,3)(4,4)(4,5)(4,6)
5(5,1)(5,2)(5,3)(5,4)(5,5)(5,6)
6(6,1)(6,2)(6,3)(6,4)(6,5)(6,6)

Solution:

Total outcomes $n(S) = 36$.

Prime numbers greater than $5$ that can be sums are $\{7, 11\}$.

Favourable outcomes for sum $7$ are: $(1,6), (2,5), (3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1)$.

Favourable outcomes for sum $11$ are: $(5,6), (6,5)$.

Total favourable outcomes $n(E) = 6 + 2 = 8$.

$P(E) = \frac{n(E)}{n(S)} = \frac{8}{36} = \frac{2}{9}$


(ii) Bag of balls (Without replacement):

Given: $4$ Red ($R_1, R_2, R_3, R_4$), $3$ Green ($G_1, G_2, G_3$), $2$ Blue ($B_1, B_2$). Total balls $= 9$. Two balls are drawn without replacement.


Sample Space ($S$):

The total number of pairs of balls drawn without replacement is $9 \times 8 = 72$.

Possible Pairs Count
Same Colour Red (e.g., $R_1R_2$)$4 \times 3 = 12$
Same Colour Green (e.g., $G_1G_2$)$3 \times 2 = 6$
Same Colour Blue (e.g., $B_1B_2$)$2 \times 1 = 2$
Different Colours (RG, RB, GR, GB, BR, BG)52
Total72

Solution:

Total outcomes $n(S) = 72$.

Number of ways to draw balls of the same colour $= 12 + 6 + 2 = 20$.

Number of ways to draw balls of different colours $n(E) = 72 - 20 = 52$.

$P(E) = \frac{52}{72} = \frac{13}{18}$


(iii) Three coins are tossed:

Given: $3$ coins are tossed. Find the probability that the first coin is Heads ($H$) and there are exactly two heads in total.


Sample Space ($S$):

Outcome No. Outcome Exactly 2 Heads? 1st Coin Head?
1HHHNoYes
2HHTYesYes
3HTHYesYes
4HTTNoYes
5THHYesNo
6THTNoNo
7TTHNoNo
8TTTNoNo

Solution:

Total outcomes $n(S) = 8$.

Favourable outcomes where 1st is H and total H count is $2$: $E = \{HHT, HTH\}$.

$n(E) = 2$

$P(E) = \frac{2}{8} = \frac{1}{4}$


(iv) Four-digit number (No repetition):

Given: Form a 4-digit number using $\{1, 2, 3, 4\}$ without repetition. Desired event: the number is even.


Sample Space ($S$):

Total numbers formed $n(S) = 4! = 24$.

Starting with 1 Starting with 2 Starting with 3 Starting with 4
1234, 1243, 1324, 1342, 1423, 14322134, 2143, 2314, 2341, 2413, 24313124, 3142, 3214, 3241, 3412, 34214123, 4132, 4213, 4231, 4312, 4321

Solution:

Even numbers must end with $2$ or $4$.

Numbers ending in $2$: $\{1342, 1432, 3142, 3412, 4132, 4312\}$ (Total $6$)

Numbers ending in $4$: $\{1234, 1324, 2134, 2314, 3124, 3214\}$ (Total $6$)

$n(E) = 6 + 6 = 12$

$P(E) = \frac{12}{24} = \frac{1}{2}$


(v) Multiple-choice test (Guessing):

Given: $3$ questions, each with options $\{A, B, C, D\}$. Exactly one correct answer per question. Desired event: exactly $2$ correct answers.


Sample Space ($S$):

Let $C$ be a correct guess and $W$ be a wrong guess. Each question has $1$ correct and $3$ wrong possibilities. Total points in sample space $= 4 \times 4 \times 4 = 64$.

Combination Type Example Paths Ways to occur
3 Correct(C, C, C)$1 \times 1 \times 1 = 1$
2 Correct, 1 Wrong(C,C,W), (C,W,C), (W,C,C)$3 \times (1 \times 1 \times 3) = 9$
1 Correct, 2 Wrong(C,W,W), (W,C,W), (W,W,C)$3 \times (1 \times 3 \times 3) = 27$
0 Correct(W, W, W)$3 \times 3 \times 3 = 27$
Total64

Solution:

Total possible outcomes $n(S) = 64$.

Favourable outcomes (Exactly $2$ Correct):

1. Q1, Q2 correct; Q3 wrong: $1 \times 1 \times 3 = 3$ ways.

2. Q1, Q3 correct; Q2 wrong: $1 \times 3 \times 1 = 3$ ways.

3. Q2, Q3 correct; Q1 wrong: $3 \times 1 \times 1 = 3$ ways.

$n(E) = 3 + 3 + 3 = 9$

$P(E) = \frac{9}{64}$

Question 13. A box contains $4$ balls numbered $1$ to $4$. Record a sample space using a tree diagram for the following experiments:

(i) A ball is drawn, and the number is recorded. Then the ball is returned, and a second ball is drawn and recorded.

(ii) A ball is drawn and recorded. Without replacing the first ball, the experimenter draws and records a second ball.

(iii) What are the sizes of these two sample spaces?

Answer:

(i) Experiment with Replacement:

Since the ball is returned, the outcomes for the second draw are the same as the first draw $\{1, 2, 3, 4\}$.

Tree diagram for drawing balls with replacement

The sample space $S_1$ can be listed in a table:

1st \ 2nd Draw 1234
1(1,1)(1,2)(1,3)(1,4)
2(2,1)(2,2)(2,3)(2,4)
3(3,1)(3,2)(3,3)(3,4)
4(4,1)(4,2)(4,3)(4,4)

(ii) Experiment without Replacement:

Since the first ball is not returned, the second draw cannot be the same as the first.

Tree diagram for drawing balls without replacement

The sample space $S_2$ can be listed in a table:

1st \ 2nd Draw 1234
1(1,2)(1,3)(1,4)
2(2,1)(2,3)(2,4)
3(3,1)(3,2)(3,4)
4(4,1)(4,2)(4,3)

(iii) Sizes of Sample Spaces:

1. For the "With Replacement" experiment, there are $4$ choices for the first draw and $4$ choices for the second draw. Total outcomes $n(S_1) = 4 \times 4 = 16$.

2. For the "Without Replacement" experiment, there are $4$ choices for the first draw and $3$ choices for the second draw. Total outcomes $n(S_2) = 4 \times 3 = 12$.

Question 14. List the elements of a sample space for the simultaneous tossing of a coin and drawing of a card from a set of $6$ cards numbered $1$ through $6$.

Answer:

Solution:

A coin has $2$ outcomes: Heads ($H$) and Tails ($T$). A set of cards numbered $1$ to $6$ has $6$ outcomes: $\{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$.

The sample space $S$ consists of all possible pairs of coin outcomes and card numbers:

Coin \ Card 123456
Heads (H)(H,1)(H,2)(H,3)(H,4)(H,5)(H,6)
Tails (T)(T,1)(T,2)(T,3)(T,4)(T,5)(T,6)

The elements of the sample space are:

$S = \{(H, 1), (H, 2), (H, 3), (H, 4), (H, 5), (H, 6), (T, 1), (T, 2), (T, 3), $$ (T, 4), (T, 5), (T, 6)\}$

Total number of outcomes $n(S) = 2 \times 6 = 12$.

Question 15. Three coins are tossed, and the number of heads is recorded. Which of the following lists is a sample space for this experiment? Why do the other lists fail to qualify as a sample space?

(i) $\{1, 2, 3\}$

(ii) $\{0, 1, 2\}$

(iii) $\{0, 1, 2, 3, 4\}$

(iv) $\{0, 1, 2, 3\}$

Answer:

Solution:

When three coins are tossed, the possible outcomes for the number of heads are:

1. No heads (TTT) $\rightarrow$ 0

2. One head (HTT, THT, TTH) $\rightarrow$ 1

3. Two heads (HHT, HTH, THH) $\rightarrow$ 2

4. Three heads (HHH) $\rightarrow$ 3

Thus, the valid sample space for the number of heads is $\{0, 1, 2, 3\}$. Therefore, list (iv) is the correct sample space.


Reasons why other lists fail:

(i) $\{1, 2, 3\}$: It fails because it omits the outcome $0$ (no heads), which is a possible result when all three coins show tails.

(ii) $\{0, 1, 2\}$: It fails because it omits the outcome $3$ (three heads), which is a possible result when all three coins show heads.

(iii) $\{0, 1, 2, 3, 4\}$: It fails because it includes $4$, which is an impossible outcome. One cannot get $4$ heads from tossing only $3$ coins.

Question 16. Suppose you drop a dye at random on the rectangular region shown in Fig. 7.8. What is the probability that it will land inside the circle with a diameter of $1\text{ m}$?

Fig. 7.8: Rectangular region with a circle inside

Answer:

Given:

Dimensions of the rectangle: Length $= 3\text{ m}$, Breadth $= 2\text{ m}$.

Diameter of the circle inside the rectangle $= 1\text{ m}$.


Solution:

This is a problem of geometric probability. The probability is calculated as the ratio of the area of the favourable region to the total area.

Step 1: Calculate the total area (Rectangle).

$\text{Area of Rectangle} = \text{length} \times \text{breadth}$

$Area_R = 3 \times 2 = 6\text{ m}^2$

Step 2: Calculate the favourable area (Circle).

Given diameter $d = 1\text{ m}$, the radius $r = \frac{1}{2}\text{ m}$.

$\text{Area of Circle} = \pi r^2$

$Area_C = \pi \times \left( \frac{1}{2} \right)^2$

$Area_C = \frac{\pi}{4}\text{ m}^2$

Step 3: Calculate the probability.

$P = \frac{\text{Area of Circle}}{\text{Area of Rectangle}}$

$P = \frac{\pi/4}{6}$

$P = \frac{\pi}{24}$

Using $\pi \approx \frac{22}{7}$:

$P = \frac{22}{7 \times 24} = \frac{11}{84}$

Therefore, the probability that the dye lands inside the circle is $\frac{\pi}{24}$ or approximately $0.131$.